THE EFFECT OF HERDING, OVERCONFIDENCE, AND RISK TOLERANCE ON INVESTMENT DECISIONS

  • Laili Azka Isnaini Universitas Islam Nahdlatul Ulama Jepara
  • Mohammad Yunies Edward Universitas Islam Nahdlatul Ulama Jepara

Abstrak

Introduction/Main Objectives: This research aims to analyze the influence of herding, overconfidence, and risk tolerance on investment decisions made by SMEs in Jepara. This topic is considered important because, in practice, SME investment choices are often influenced by psychological factors, not solely based on logical considerations or rational analysis. Background Problems: The increasing number of MSME actors in Jepara reflects significant local economic growth; however, their investment decisions are still largely influenced by psychological factors such as herding, overconfidence, and risk tolerance, rather than by objective financial considerations. Novelty: This study contributes to the literature by offering insights into investment behavior of SMEs, which has been relatively underexplored, as most existing research focuses on individual investors in the capital market. Research Methods: This research employs a quantitative approach using a survey method involving 130 SMEs in the food and beverage sector in the Jepara region. The sample was selected using a a non-probability sampling method based on accessibility was employed, followed by data analysis through multiple linear regression using an analytical technique based on Partial Least Squares (PLS). Finding/Results: This research reveals that overconfidence contributes positively to the investment decisions of SME actors. Meanwhile, the factors of herding behavior and risk tolerance do not exhibit a meaningful relationship with those investment decisions. Conclusion: The confidence factor of business actors plays an important role in determining investment decisions among SMEs in Jepara. Therefore, strengthening financial literacy and understanding psychological biases are necessary to ensure that investment decisions are made more logically and based on well-considered judgments.

Referensi

Afriani, D., & Halmawati. (2019). Pengaruh Cognitive Dissonance Bias, Overconfidence Bias Dan Herding Bias Terhadap Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi (Studi Empiris Pada Mahasiswa Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Negeri Padang Yang Melakukan Investasi Di Bursa Efek Indonesia). Jurnal Eksplorasi Akuntansi, 1(4), 1650–1665.
Aristiwati, I. N., & Hidayatullah, S. K. (2021). Pengaruh Herding Dan Overconfidence Terhadap Keputusan Investasi (Studi Pada Nasabah Emas Kantor Pegadaian Ungaran). Jurnal Among Makarti, 14(1).
Azhari, R., & Damingun. (2021). Pengaruh Bias Representative terhadap Keputusan Investasi di Pasar Modal (Vol. 2, Issue 2).
Budiarto, A., & Susanti. (2017). Pengaruh Financial Literacy, Overconfidence, Regret Aversion Bias, Dan Risk Tolerance Terhadap Keputusan Investasi (Studi Pada Investor Pt. Sucorinvest Central Gani Galeri Investasi Bei Universitas Negeri Surabaya). Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Negeri, 05(02), 1–9.
Etikan, I. (2016). Comparison of Convenience Sampling and Purposive Sampling. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 5(1), 1.
Fridana, I. O., & Asandimitra, N. (2020). Analisis Faktor Yang Memengaruhi Keputusan Investasi (Studi Pada Mahasiswi Di Surabaya). Jurnal Muara Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 4(2), 396.
Gozalie, S., & Anastasia, N. (2015). Pengaruh Perilaku Heuristics dan Herding Terhadap Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi Properti Hunian. Finesta, 3(1), 1–5.
Herlina, Hadianto, B., Winarto, J., & Suwarno, N. A. N. (2020). The Herding and Overconfidence Effect on the Decision of Individuals to Invest Stocks. Journal of Economics and Business, 3(4), 1386–1397.
Khairunizam, & Isbanah, Y. (2019). Pengaruh Financial Literacy Dan Behavioral Finance Factors Terhadap Keputusan Investasi (Studi Terhadap Investor Saham Syariah Pada Galeri Investasi Syariah Uin Sunan Ampel Surabaya). In Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen (Vol. 7). www.ekonomisyariah.org
Lathifatunnisa, & Nur Wahyuni, A. (2021). Pengaruh Faktor Demografi, Risk Tolerance Dan Overconfidence Terhadap Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi Mahasiswa Di Kota Pekalongan. Jurnal Bisnis Terapan, 5(2), 203–216.
Listiani, E., & Soleha, E. (2023). Literasi Keuangan, Risk Tolerance dan Overconfidence Terhadap Keputusan Investasi pada Pekerja di Kawasan Industri Cikarang. Journal of Management and Bussines (JOMB), 5(2), 983–993.
Nugraha, D. M., & Hendrati, I. M. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Tenaga Kerja UKM, Investasi UKM, dan Ekspor UKM Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia . Jurnal Ekombis Review, 11(1), 777–786.
Pertiwi, T. K., Yuniningsih, Y., & Anwar, M. (2019). The biased factors of investor’s behavior in stock exchange trading. Management Science Letters, 9(6), 835–842.
Pikulina, E., Renneboog, L., & Tobler, P. N. (2012). Overconfidence and Investment: An Experimental Approach ⇤. In Florence Workshop on Behavioral and Experimental Economics.
Pranyoto, E., Susanti, & Septiyani. (2020). Herding Behavior, Experienced Regret Dan Keputusan Investasi Pada Bitcoin. Jurnal Bisnis Darmajaya, 06(01), 29–43.
Pujiyanto, N., & Mahastanti, L. A. (2013). Regret Aversion Bias Dan Risk Tolerance Dalam Keputusan Investasi. www.warsidi.com/2009/11
Putri, R. A., & Isbanah, Y. (2020). Faktor-Faktor Yang Memengaruhi Keputusan Investasi Pada Investor Saham Di Surabaya. Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi, 8(1), 197–209.
Rakhmatulloh, A. D., & Asandimitra, N. (2019). Pengaruh Overconfidence, Accounting Information, Dan Behavioural Motivation Terhadap Keputusan Investasi Di Kota Surabaya. In Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen (Vol. 7).
Ramashar, W., Hanifa Sandri, S., Hidayat, R., Studi Akuntansi, P., Ekonomi dan Bisnis, F., Muhammadiyah Riau, U., & Studi Keuangan Perbankan, P. (2022). Faktor Psikologi dan Keputusan Investasi Mahasiswa di Pasar Modal. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 10(1), 93–102. http
Ramdani, F. N. (2018). Analisis Pengaruh Representativeness Bias Dan Herding Behavior Terhadap Keputusan Investasi (Studi Pada Mahasiswa Di Yogyakarta).
Rona, I. W., & Sinarwati, N. K. (2021). Pengaruh Herding Bias dan Overconfidence Bias terhadap Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi. Studi Akuntansi Dan Keuangan Indonesia, 4(2).
Salerindra, B. (2020). Determinan Keputusan Investasi Mahasiswa Pada Galeri Investasi Perguruan Tinggi Di Surabaya Dan Malang. In Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen (Vol. 8).
Salvatore, T., & Esra, M. A. (2021). Pengaruh Overconfidence, Herding, Regret Aversion, Dan Risk Tolerance Terhadap Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi Investor. Jurnal Manajemen, 10(1), 48–56.
Setiawan, Y. C., Atahau, A. D. R., & Robiyanto. (2018). Cognitive Dissonance Bias, Overconfidence Bias dan Herding Bias dalam Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi Saham. Accounting and Financial Review, 11, 17–25.
Widiastuti, A., Khajar, I., & Ghoniyah, N. (2022). Hikmah knowledge capture insolvency on MSME responsibility and financial performance. Jurnal Siasat Bisnis, 31–48.
Wulandari, A. D., & Iramani, R. (2014). Studi Experienced Regret, Risk Tolerance, Overconfidance Dan Risk Perception Pada Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi Dosen Ekonomi. In Journal of Business and Banking (Vol. 4, Issue 1).
Yohnson. (2008). Regret Aversion Bias dan Risk Tolerance Investor Muda Jakarta dan Surabaya.
Zahida, A. B. (2021). Peran Literasi Keuangan, Risk Tolerance, Dan Risk Perception Terhadap Keputusan Investasi Mahasiswa.